Population aging and government transfer dependency in Mountrail County as of 2022

Population aging and government transfer dependency in Mountrail County as of 2022
John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group — Official Website
0Comments

In 2022, Mountrail County received $96.6 million in government transfer payments, equivalent to $10,398 per capita.

These payments—which include Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and income maintenance—accounted for 12.8% of all personal income in the county, according to information from the Economic Innovation Group.

This marks a slight increase in the county’s reliance on government transfers compared to 2012, when such payments made up 9.6% of total income. Since then, the share has risen by 3.2%.

Government transfer payments are non-repayable funds provided by federal, state, or local governments to support individuals in need. These payments aim to stabilize economic conditions and provide financial support during hardships. Key programs include Social Security transfers (retirement benefits), Medicare transfers (healthcare for seniors), Medicaid transfers (healthcare for low-income individuals), and income maintenance transfers (financial assistance for basic needs).

In 2022, government transfers in Mountrail County primarily focused on older adults—such as Social Security transfers, which totaled $27.4 million (28.3% of all transfer income), and Medicare, which accounted for $19.7 million (20.4%)—played a significant role in the county’s overall income.

On a per capita basis, Social Security payments rose from $2,493 in 2012 and $1,022 in 1970 to $2,944 in 2022, reflecting a 18.1% increase over the past decade and an 188.1% shift since 1970.

Similarly, Medicare transfers climbed from $1,551 in 2012 and $291 in 1970 to $2,125, marking 37% and 630.2% increases, respectively.

These increases in per capita payments align with shifts in the county’s age distribution. In 2022, residents aged 65 and older made up 13.7% of the total population, compared to 12.3% in 2012 and 11.6% in 1970. While the senior share of the population has increased, the rise in per capita Social Security and Medicare transfers suggests that these assistance programs for older adults now require a larger share of government funding—either due to growing needs, expanded eligibility, higher benefit levels, or increased enrollment.

According to the Economic Innovation Group, total income in Mountrail County excluding public assistance amounted to $70,674 per capita in 2022, compared to $81,073 when government transfers were included.

Breaking down the other contributions in the county, Medicaid transfers made up $28.1 million, a 29.1% share of total income, while income maintenance programs, including assistance such as SNAP or TANF, added another $8.6 million, or 9% of the total.

Compared to the previous year, Mountrail County’s reliance on government transfers decreased by 2.8%.

Government transfers have long been a modest financial safety net, historically comprising only a small fraction of Americans’ income. However, since the 1970s—sometimes dubbed the “Great Transfer-mation”—dependency has surged from 8.2% (or $2,016 per capita in inflation-adjusted 2022 dollars) in 1970 to 17.6% (or $11,529 per capita) in 2022 nationwide.

According to the Economic Innovation Group’s analysis, these trends are not merely short-term responses to economic pressures but rather reflect a profound, long-term transformation in how government support is integrated into American life. The study illustrates that structural shifts—from rising healthcare expenses and demographic changes to stagnant wages—have significantly increased dependency on government transfers.

Breakdown of Government Transfers by Program in Mountrail County, 2022
2022 North Dakota County Rankings by Per Capita Government Transfers
County State Rank (Per Capita Transfers) Dependency on Transfers (%) % Population 65+ Social Security Transfers (%) Medicare Transfers (%) Medicaid Transfers (%) Income Maintenance Transfers (%) Per Capita Transfers ($)
McIntosh County 1 23.45% 29.98% 25.7% 28% 33.1% 4.6% $21,094
Nelson County 2 20.68% 27.61% 31% 20.7% 33.1% 4.4% $19,084
Rolette County 3 33.47% 13.21% 16.7% 15.6% 38.3% 17.3% $19,076
Towner County 4 14% 27.43% 32% 24.8% 26.5% 6.2% $16,773
Wells County 5 15% 28.28% 30.2% 24.7% 27% 6.1% $16,511
Adams County 6 27.67% 30.47% 32.9% 28% 25.4% 5.3% $16,267
Griggs County 7 16.72% 31.3% 34.3% 25.5% 26.1% 6.5% $15,703
Benson County 8 22.88% 15.99% 21.4% 17.3% 33.1% 14.9% $15,683
Logan County 9 18.2% 26.71% 26.8% 23.8% 30.2% 6.2% $15,539
Emmons County 10 16.27% 28.61% 33.2% 29.6% 19.7% 6.2% $15,293
Eddy County 11 16.79% 22.19% 31.8% 17.2% 36.5% 6.2% $15,169
Pierce County 12 20.24% 23.99% 30.8% 22.9% 26.8% 7.3% $15,101
Renville County 13 13.25% 20.89% 31.2% 20.9% 30.1% 5.2% $15,048
Sheridan County 14 15.15% 35.93% 35.7% 24.1% 18.8% 9.9% $15,039
Grant County 15 23.33% 30.88% 30% 29.5% 20% 8.7% $14,996
Sioux County 16 38.65% 9.33% 12.4% 11.5% 44.7% 18.8% $14,991
Walsh County 17 19.59% 22.24% 31.1% 29.8% 22.9% 6.4% $14,881
Dickey County 18 15.92% 20% 28.2% 22.5% 32.3% 6.6% $14,804
Kidder County 19 17.47% 27.47% 29.5% 22.3% 26.9% 6.4% $14,601
Bottineau County 20 16.2% 25.34% 34.1% 24.6% 22.5% 6.6% $14,564
Cavalier County 21 10.72% 27.88% 36.9% 26.8% 22.4% 5.3% $14,531
Ransom County 22 18.85% 21.99% 29% 23.2% 28.5% 4.8% $14,042
Bowman County 23 18.68% 24.28% 32.6% 34.8% 19.6% 4.5% $14,020
Ramsey County 24 20.36% 21.42% 31.1% 22.8% 27.1% 7.5% $13,907
McHenry County 25 17.66% 21.87% 31% 26.3% 18.6% 7.6% $13,835
McLean County 26 16.96% 26.3% 36.6% 24.8% 21% 4.8% $13,771
Divide County 27 18.4% 25.31% 31.1% 30% 20.9% 5.7% $13,583
Barnes County 28 17.81% 23.41% 33.7% 22.9% 24.1% 6% $13,491
Pembina County 29 15.17% 25.72% 38.6% 28.3% 16.8% 5.5% $13,336
Hettinger County 30 19.58% 22.98% 34.4% 25.5% 24.5% 6.4% $13,197
Traill County 31 17.3% 20.54% 32.5% 24.5% 23.7% 5.7% $13,043
Mercer County 32 19.29% 22.61% 39.7% 28.8% 16.9% 4.5% $12,778
LaMoure County 33 13.45% 27.63% 36% 27.3% 18.1% 6.3% $12,749
Stutsman County 34 18.17% 20.51% 34.2% 22.7% 25.1% 6.4% $12,343
Sargent County 35 13% 23.13% 39.6% 31.7% 11.6% 5.2% $12,105
Foster County 36 12.78% 23.67% 35.3% 25.7% 19.4% 5.9% $11,693
Steele County 37 9.43% 25.77% 48.4% 29% 4.4% 7.3% $10,899
Richland County 38 16.44% 20.35% 37.2% 23% 18.8% 6.9% $10,843
Dunn County 39 11.41% 18.9% 31.3% 24.4% 22.9% 6.3% $10,467
Mountrail County 40 12.83% 13.73% 28.3% 20.4% 29.1% 9% $10,398
Slope County 41 17.84% 30.79% 38.6% 18.3% 16.6% 8.6% $10,190
Morton County 42 16.37% 17.29% 34.9% 24.2% 19.6% 7.3% $9,956
Golden Valley County 43 17.37% 27.61% 43% 32.1% 8.8% 6.4% $9,894
Burke County 44 9.44% 22.47% 41.7% 28.3% 14.4% 6.7% $9,690
Burleigh County 45 13.4% 17.87% 38.4% 24.5% 17.7% 6.1% $9,577
Oliver County 46 15.22% 25.24% 51.3% 23.6% 7.2% 7.3% $9,563
Ward County 47 14.61% 14.29% 30.5% 22.5% 18.5% 8.3% $9,145
Grand Forks County 48 14.67% 14.4% 33.6% 23.7% 17.4% 8.3% $8,964
Stark County 49 12.56% 14% 33.4% 22.3% 21.1% 7.7% $8,426
Cass County 50 10.77% 12.94% 37.4% 23.4% 14.9% 8.6% $7,444
Williams County 51 9.39% 10.55% 33.3% 22.1% 20.4% 9.1% $6,490
Billings County 52 6.81% 23.9% 51.7% 14.2% 11.2% 11% $5,653
McKenzie County 53 7.32% 10.32% 30.7% 22.1% 21% 10.5% $5,568


Related

2022: Correlation between aging and increasing government transfer dependency in Stark County?

2022: Correlation between aging and increasing government transfer dependency in Stark County?

Stark County’s older population has shrunk in the past decade, and so has the share of income from Social Security and Medicare.

2022: Comparing aging and government transfer dependency in Slope County since 1970

2022: Comparing aging and government transfer dependency in Slope County since 1970

Since 1970, Slope County’s population aged over 65 has increased by 22.9%, while income from age-related government transfers has fallen by 6%.

How Renville County’s older population and government transfer dependency has changed over time

How Renville County’s older population and government transfer dependency has changed over time

Since 1970, Renville County’s population aged over 65 has increased by 10.4%, while income from age-related government transfers has fallen by 19.9%.

Trending

The Weekly Newsletter

Sign-up for the Weekly Newsletter from Western ND News.